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Qual 502025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Aptiv Division
Red175
1063347.8
531440.8
387543.6
Blue233
661564.7
49471.4
86273.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143235100200250300350175233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+60
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +35
9Leave0
1Coral scored#10
7Coral points51
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +25
23Coral scored#32
83Coral points114
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
18Processor points24
32Net points20
50Algae points44
133Total teleop158
Reef
8L4#15
6L3#8
6L2#11
4L1 · trough#8
35Game pieces#51
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
175Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10633
#31
47.82.2
44.4→46.7
Auto6.9
Teleop39.8
End1.1
blue by 25.2
862
#10
73.01.0
71.7→72.7
Auto15.8
Teleop45.6
End11.6
Second
3875
#36
43.62.2
44.8→47.1
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End6.3
blue by 27.8
494
#4
71.41.0
71.8→72.8
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
Third
5314
#33
40.82.2
40.8→43.1
Auto8.7
Teleop24.4
End7.7
blue by 23.9
6615
#15
64.71.0
63.3→64.3
Auto13.2
Teleop49.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned