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Red207
213772.8
423760.9
317573.1
Blue205
440560.6
107665.3
521673.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210205100150250300350207205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
11Coral scored#6
55Coral points28
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +19
24Coral scored#31
87Coral points110
5Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
30Processor points18
16Net points24
46Algae points42
133Total teleop152
Reef
14L4#11
6L3#10
11L2#9
4L1 · trough#7
44Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
207Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#22
73.10.1
67.467.3
Auto17.5
Teleop47.2
End8.4
blue by 0.7
5216
#25
73.80.2
71.171.3
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
Second
72.80.1
73.573.4
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
red by 7.5
1076
#19
65.30.2
62.162.2
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Third
4237
#13
60.90.1
56.156.0
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
red by 0.3
4405
#18
60.60.2
58.358.4
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned