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Red169
5150.4
1034935.1
170172.0
Blue152
602928.8
149858.6
233779.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190190155165175180185195169152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points58
4Processor algae#4
8Net algae#6
24Processor points24
32Net points24
56Algae points48
112Total teleop106
Reef
11L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points6
169Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.2
72.672.4
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
blue by 7.0
79.01.9
76.874.8
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
Second
51
#14
50.40.2
52.352.1
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
blue by 8.2
1498
#11
58.61.9
57.155.2
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
Third
35.10.2
35.935.7
Auto7.4
Teleop26.2
End1.5
red by 6.3
6029
#38
28.81.9
30.128.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned89%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned