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Red187
387543.6
22666.1
365661.0
Blue200
515249.7
10739.2
49471.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190174120140160200220240260187200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points26
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +7
29Coral scored#28
105Coral points102
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
18Processor points24
20Net points24
38Algae points48
143Total teleop150
Reef
12L4#10
12L3#9
9L2#7
3L1 · trough#7
44Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
187Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
66.10.6
61.060.4
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
blue by 5.3
494
#4
71.41.2
72.874.0
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
Second
61.00.6
62.261.6
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8
red by 11.3
5152
#27
49.71.2
45.346.5
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End8.9
Third
3875
#36
43.60.6
47.146.5
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End6.3
red by 4.4
107
#34
39.21.2
39.540.6
Auto8.1
Teleop29.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned