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Red172
663747.7
207572.0
634434.2
Blue153
531440.8
1050551.3
967334.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179153100200250172153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
26Coral scored#24
94Coral points88
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
114Total teleop116
Reef
18L4#7
6L3#11
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
172Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.4
71.772.1
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
red by 20.7
51.30.3
48.949.3
Auto9.6
Teleop41.4
End0.3
Second
6637
#35
47.70.4
47.848.2
Auto13.4
Teleop32.0
End2.3
red by 6.9
5314
#33
40.80.3
43.143.4
Auto8.7
Teleop24.4
End7.7
Third
6344
#28
34.20.4
28.028.4
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End9.9
blue by 0.4
9673
#30
34.50.3
36.937.3
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned