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Red165
437727.4
566052.0
360462.2
Blue95
85848.7
515029.5
925525.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1681255010015020025016595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+58Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
25Coral scored#17
90Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
112Total teleop75
Reef
12L4#6
7L3#8
6L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
165Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#12
62.21.1
55.256.3
Auto13.5
Teleop43.7
End5.0
red by 13.6
858
#20
48.71.5
46.144.5
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
Second
5660
#17
52.01.1
54.255.3
Auto11.6
Teleop34.1
End6.3
red by 22.5
5150
#32
29.51.5
33.832.3
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
Third
4377
#39
27.41.1
27.929.0
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End1.2
red by 2.3
9255
#37
25.11.5
27.025.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed