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Red208
521673.8
213772.8
91060.1
Blue148
5150.4
1063347.8
779054.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232158100200250300208148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+40Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave6
12Coral scored#5
58Coral points24
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
26Coral scored#24
92Coral points88
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
124Total teleop112
Reef
13L4#7
12L3#9
6L2#8
7L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
208Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#25
73.80.8
71.370.5
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
red by 19.6
7790
#16
54.21.0
52.151.1
Auto9.2
Teleop38.1
End6.9
Second
72.80.8
73.472.6
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
red by 22.4
51
#14
50.41.0
52.151.1
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
Third
910
#9
60.10.8
64.063.2
Auto18.3
Teleop32.1
End9.7
red by 12.3
47.81.0
47.446.4
Auto6.9
Teleop39.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed