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Red207
49471.4
170172.0
107665.3
Blue215
233779.0
515249.7
30265.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225201150250300207215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
10Coral scored#11
49Coral points55
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +18
18Coral scored#32
63Coral points115
7Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
42Processor points12
20Net points16
62Algae points28
125Total teleop143
Reef
11L4#17
7L3#12
7L2#10
3L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#49
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
207Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.9
72.471.5
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
blue by 7.0
79.01.0
74.875.9
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
Second
494
#4
71.40.9
74.073.1
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
red by 5.6
302
#7
65.81.0
66.767.8
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End2.5
Third
1076
#19
65.30.9
62.261.4
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
red by 15.7
5152
#27
49.71.0
46.547.6
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned