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Red160
317573.1
1050551.3
1034935.1
Blue173
423760.9
365661.0
531440.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175186140160200220240160173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+3Teleop
Endgame+19
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points41
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +14
23Coral scored#20
81Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
117Total teleop103
Reef
8L4#13
10L3#6
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points0
160Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#22
73.10.4
67.366.9
Auto17.5
Teleop47.2
End8.4
red by 12.1
61.00.2
61.661.8
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8
Second
51.30.4
49.348.9
Auto9.6
Teleop41.4
End0.3
blue by 9.6
4237
#13
60.90.2
56.056.2
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
Third
35.10.4
35.735.3
Auto7.4
Teleop26.2
End1.5
blue by 5.7
5314
#33
40.80.2
43.443.6
Auto8.7
Teleop24.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed80%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned