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Red208
149858.6
22666.1
566052.0
Blue193
360462.2
24555.4
1060641.4
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193168120140160180220240260208193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+3
+9Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
10Coral scored#8
49Coral points41
58Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +14
18Coral scored#19
64Coral points68
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#9
12Processor points18
32Net points36
44Algae points54
108Total teleop122
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#6
7L2#5
7L1 · trough#7
38Game pieces#39
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points0
208Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
66.11.3
60.461.7
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
red by 3.9
3604
#12
62.22.3
56.358.7
Auto13.5
Teleop43.7
End5.0
Second
1498
#11
58.61.3
55.256.5
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
red by 3.3
245
#21
55.42.3
54.356.6
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
Third
5660
#17
52.01.3
55.356.6
Auto11.6
Teleop34.1
End6.3
red by 10.5
41.42.3
36.138.4
Auto7.1
Teleop24.0
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned