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Red67
602928.8
515029.5
437727.4
Blue111
967334.5
387543.6
10739.2
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081595015020067111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+30
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +5
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
13Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +25
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
54Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#4
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
67Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#32
29.52.2
32.330.0
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
blue by 14.1
3875
#36
43.61.6
46.544.8
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End6.3
Second
6029
#38
28.82.2
28.225.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End8.7
blue by 10.4
107
#34
39.21.6
40.639.0
Auto8.1
Teleop29.7
End1.3
Third
4377
#39
27.42.2
29.026.8
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End1.2
blue by 7.1
9673
#30
34.51.6
37.335.6
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned