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Red123
925525.1
663747.7
440560.6
Blue173
86273.0
519348.6
85848.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147190100250300123173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +35
18Coral scored#24
66Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
12Processor points12
4Net points20
16Algae points32
82Total teleop117
Reef
11L4#13
6L3#7
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
123Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#18
60.60.8
58.457.6
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End9.1
blue by 12.4
862
#10
73.00.5
73.273.7
Auto15.8
Teleop45.6
End11.6
Second
6637
#35
47.70.8
48.247.4
Auto13.4
Teleop32.0
End2.3
blue by 0.9
858
#20
48.70.5
44.545.1
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
Third
9255
#37
25.10.8
25.524.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
blue by 23.5
5193
#29
48.60.5
44.745.2
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed84%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned