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Red207
634434.2
506651.2
317573.1
Blue247
661564.7
213772.8
207572.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155241100200300207247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+48
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points44
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +51
22Coral scored#40
80Coral points143
4Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
24Processor points24
32Net points20
56Algae points44
136Total teleop187
Reef
10L4#14
12L3#14
6L2#13
3L1 · trough#8
43Game pieces#58
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
207Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#22
73.12.4
66.969.3
Auto17.5
Teleop47.2
End8.4
red by 0.3
72.80.7
72.673.3
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
Second
5066
#24
51.22.4
48.450.9
Auto15.8
Teleop33.7
End1.7
blue by 20.8
72.00.7
72.172.8
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
Third
6344
#28
34.22.4
28.430.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End9.9
blue by 30.5
6615
#15
64.70.7
64.865.5
Auto13.2
Teleop49.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned