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Red160
515029.5
86273.0
506651.2
Blue183
365661.0
925525.1
233779.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17217850100150200250300160183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
9Coral scored#9
45Coral points44
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +24
18Coral scored#18
63Coral points63
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#8
6Processor points18
20Net points32
26Algae points50
89Total teleop113
Reef
7L4#7
11L3#9
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
160Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#10
73.00.8
73.772.9
Auto15.8
Teleop45.6
End11.6
blue by 6.0
79.00.6
75.976.5
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
Second
5066
#24
51.20.8
50.950.1
Auto15.8
Teleop33.7
End1.7
blue by 9.8
61.00.6
61.862.5
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8
Third
5150
#32
29.50.8
30.029.2
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
red by 4.4
9255
#37
25.10.6
24.725.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned