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Qual 722025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Aptiv Division
Red114
10739.2
85848.7
437727.4
Blue181
967334.5
170172.0
207572.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12222050100150200250300114181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+55
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave0
3Coral scored#10
13Coral points51
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +20
19Coral scored#20
70Coral points72
1Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
6Processor points24
20Net points20
26Algae points44
96Total teleop116
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#10
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#7
28Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
114Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#20
48.70.5
45.1→44.5
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
blue by 23.4
1701
#6
72.00.7
71.5→70.8
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
Second
107
#34
39.20.5
39.0→38.5
Auto8.1
Teleop29.7
End1.3
blue by 32.8
2075
#1
72.00.7
72.8→72.1
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
Third
4377
#39
27.40.5
26.8→26.2
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End1.2
blue by 7.1
9673
#30
34.50.7
35.6→34.9
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned