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Red205
170172.0
233779.0
10739.2
Blue182
423760.9
1063347.8
519348.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208160100150250300205182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+15Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave3
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points35
54Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +1
18Coral scored#24
65Coral points88
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#7
30Processor points12
32Net points28
62Algae points40
127Total teleop128
Reef
11L4#12
6L3#11
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#40
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
205Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.7
76.577.2
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
red by 18.1
4237
#13
60.91.6
57.258.8
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
Second
72.00.7
70.871.5
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
red by 23.4
5193
#29
48.61.6
45.947.5
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6
Third
107
#34
39.20.7
38.539.2
Auto8.1
Teleop29.7
End1.3
blue by 8.6
47.81.6
46.147.8
Auto6.9
Teleop39.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned79%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned