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Red171
506651.2
437727.4
661564.7
Blue165
107665.3
515029.5
1034935.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168154100120140180200220171165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
26Coral scored#18
94Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#11
18Processor points12
20Net points44
38Algae points56
132Total teleop120
Reef
12L4#9
11L3#5
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points18
171Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#15
64.71.2
63.264.3
Auto13.2
Teleop49.7
End1.7
blue by 0.6
1076
#19
65.30.3
64.664.9
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Second
5066
#24
51.21.2
50.151.2
Auto15.8
Teleop33.7
End1.7
red by 16.1
35.10.3
34.835.1
Auto7.4
Teleop26.2
End1.5
Third
4377
#39
27.41.2
26.227.4
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End1.2
blue by 2.1
5150
#32
29.50.3
29.229.5
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed