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Qual 762025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Aptiv Division
Red178
149858.6
387543.6
1050551.3
Blue220
85848.7
360462.2
22666.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169193100150250300178220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+44
Endgame+36
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points51
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +33
21Coral scored#28
74Coral points101
2Processor algae#5
7Net algae#4
12Processor points30
28Net points16
40Algae points46
114Total teleop147
Reef
11L4#15
6L3#8
6L2#9
4L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#47
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points6
178Total score220

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1498
#11
58.61.1
57.1→58.3
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
blue by 7.5
226
#2
66.12.4
62.7→65.1
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
Second
10505
#23
51.31.1
50.1→51.3
Auto9.6
Teleop41.4
End0.3
blue by 11.0
3604
#12
62.22.4
59.9→62.3
Auto13.5
Teleop43.7
End5.0
Third
3875
#36
43.61.1
42.5→43.6
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End6.3
blue by 5.1
858
#20
48.72.4
44.5→46.9
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned