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Red188
213772.8
86273.0
967334.5
Blue131
566052.0
24555.4
531440.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209170100150250188131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+35Teleop
+55Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
7Coral scored#9
37Coral points44
43Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +36
25Coral scored#18
91Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
117Total teleop81
Reef
14L4#14
8L3#5
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
2Foul points0
188Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#10
73.00.4
72.972.5
Auto15.8
Teleop45.6
End11.6
red by 17.6
245
#21
55.42.2
57.255.0
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
Second
72.80.4
73.372.9
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
red by 20.8
5660
#17
52.02.2
52.149.9
Auto11.6
Teleop34.1
End6.3
Third
9673
#30
34.50.4
34.934.5
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End6.8
blue by 6.3
5314
#33
40.82.2
43.040.8
Auto8.7
Teleop24.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsMissed