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Red227
85848.7
233779.0
207572.0
Blue187
24555.4
661564.7
149858.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221199150250300227187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+46Endgame
+40Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
9Coral scored#9
45Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +26
26Coral scored#26
92Coral points94
6Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
36Processor points12
24Net points20
60Algae points32
152Total teleop126
Reef
14L4#14
12L3#11
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#42
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points6
227Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.7
77.277.9
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
red by 14.3
6615
#15
64.70.1
64.364.4
Auto13.2
Teleop49.7
End1.7
Second
72.00.7
70.371.0
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
red by 13.4
1498
#11
58.60.1
58.358.4
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
Third
858
#20
48.70.7
46.947.6
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
blue by 6.7
245
#21
55.40.1
55.055.1
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6