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Red209
49471.4
5150.4
317573.1
Blue213
30265.8
365661.0
107665.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212210100150250300209213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
0Endgame0
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +12
22Coral scored#31
79Coral points113
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
30Processor points12
28Net points24
58Algae points36
137Total teleop149
Reef
12L4#16
8L3#11
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#46
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points6
209Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#22
73.10.4
71.371.7
Auto17.5
Teleop47.2
End8.4
red by 7.3
302
#7
65.80.4
65.465.8
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End2.5
Second
494
#4
71.40.4
69.569.9
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
red by 6.1
1076
#19
65.30.4
64.965.3
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Third
51
#14
50.40.4
48.649.0
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
blue by 10.6
61.00.4
60.660.9
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8