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Red220
360462.2
779054.2
213772.8
Blue222
86273.0
170172.0
440560.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205221160180240260280300220222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
+18Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +32
6Leave3
4Coral scored#11
20Coral points55
26Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +50
37Coral scored#26
132Coral points92
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
18Processor points12
28Net points24
46Algae points36
178Total teleop128
Reef
14L4#19
12L3#9
6L2#5
9L1 · trough#4
51Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
220Total score222

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.80.6
72.973.5
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
blue by 0.2
862
#10
73.00.3
72.572.8
Auto15.8
Teleop45.6
End11.6
Second
3604
#12
62.20.6
62.362.9
Auto13.5
Teleop43.7
End5.0
blue by 9.8
72.00.3
71.571.8
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
Third
7790
#16
54.20.6
54.354.9
Auto9.2
Teleop38.1
End6.9
blue by 6.4
4405
#18
60.60.3
60.160.4
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End9.1