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Red191
24555.4
661564.7
149858.6
Blue202
49471.4
5150.4
317573.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198215100150250300191202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
29Coral scored#32
106Coral points116
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
140Total teleop144
Reef
18L4#15
6L3#8
6L2#10
6L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points2
191Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#15
64.70.3
64.464.7
Auto13.2
Teleop49.7
End1.7
blue by 8.4
3175
#22
73.10.2
71.771.9
Auto17.5
Teleop47.2
End8.4
Second
1498
#11
58.60.3
58.458.6
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
blue by 12.8
494
#4
71.40.2
69.970.1
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
Third
245
#21
55.40.3
55.155.4
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
red by 4.9
51
#14
50.40.2
49.049.2
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0