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Red209
566052.0
423760.9
91060.1
Blue162
360462.2
779054.2
213772.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18021250100150250300209162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
10Coral scored#6
52Coral points31
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +6
25Coral scored#23
89Coral points81
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
125Total teleop119
Reef
13L4#10
10L3#8
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#37
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
209Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#13
60.90.9
59.660.5
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
blue by 11.9
72.80.6
73.572.8
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
Second
910
#9
60.10.9
58.859.7
Auto18.3
Teleop32.1
End9.7
blue by 2.1
3604
#12
62.20.6
62.962.2
Auto13.5
Teleop43.7
End5.0
Third
5660
#17
52.00.9
50.751.6
Auto11.6
Teleop34.1
End6.3
blue by 2.2
7790
#16
54.20.6
54.954.2
Auto9.2
Teleop38.1
End6.9