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Red218
85848.7
233779.0
207572.0
Blue188
30265.8
107665.3
365661.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218209150200250300218188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
8Coral scored#9
42Coral points44
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +21
25Coral scored#27
89Coral points96
5Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
30Processor points6
24Net points20
54Algae points26
143Total teleop122
Reef
13L4#8
8L3#14
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#8
44Game pieces#42
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points6
218Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.5
77.978.4
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
red by 13.1
302
#7
65.80.2
65.865.5
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End2.5
Second
72.00.5
71.071.5
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
red by 6.7
1076
#19
65.30.2
65.365.0
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Third
858
#20
48.70.5
47.648.1
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
blue by 12.4
61.00.2
60.960.7
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8