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Red243
276782.8
584350.9
6781.6
Blue208
85849.1
233779.4
207572.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229216150200250300243208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
10Coral scored#10
49Coral points52
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +15
28Coral scored#26
101Coral points92
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
24Processor points18
24Net points24
48Algae points42
149Total teleop134
Reef
11L4#11
11L3#12
9L2#7
7L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#45
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
243Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
Unranked
82.80.7
82.182.7
Auto24.7
Teleop47.7
End10.3
red by 3.4
2337
Unranked
79.40.1
80.680.7
Auto21.9
Teleop49.2
End8.3
Second
67
Unranked
81.60.7
80.981.6
Auto17.7
Teleop53.5
End10.4
red by 9.2
2075
Unranked
72.40.1
73.773.7
Auto17.8
Teleop44.8
End9.8
Third
5843
Unranked
50.90.7
50.250.9
Auto11.1
Teleop31.9
End8.0
red by 1.8
858
Unranked
49.10.1
50.350.4
Auto10.6
Teleop36.4
End2.1