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Red206
276782.8
584350.9
6781.6
Blue212
85849.1
233779.4
207572.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230215150200250300350206212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
12Coral scored#9
59Coral points45
65Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +10
21Coral scored#29
77Coral points103
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
125Total teleop135
Reef
16L4#15
6L3#8
5L2#7
6L1 · trough#8
43Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
206Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
Unranked
82.80.2
82.782.5
Auto24.7
Teleop47.7
End10.3
red by 3.4
2337
Unranked
79.40.2
80.780.9
Auto21.9
Teleop49.2
End8.3
Second
67
Unranked
81.60.2
81.681.4
Auto17.7
Teleop53.5
End10.4
red by 9.2
2075
Unranked
72.40.2
73.773.9
Auto17.8
Teleop44.8
End9.8
Third
5843
Unranked
50.90.2
50.950.7
Auto11.1
Teleop31.9
End8.0
red by 1.8
858
Unranked
49.10.2
50.450.5
Auto10.6
Teleop36.4
End2.1