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Red251
353970.2
721163.9
2781.8
Blue227
85849.1
233779.4
207572.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231213160180200240260280300251227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
0Teleop0
+22Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave6
12Coral scored#9
58Coral points45
64Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +13
25Coral scored#33
89Coral points118
4Processor algae#4
9Net algae#5
24Processor points24
36Net points20
60Algae points44
149Total teleop162
Reef
10L4#18
14L3#8
5L2#10
8L1 · trough#6
50Game pieces#51
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +24
2Foul points0
251Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
Unranked
81.80.7
81.181.7
Auto19.6
Teleop51.1
End11.2
red by 2.4
2337
Unranked
79.40.5
79.079.5
Auto21.9
Teleop49.2
End8.3
Second
3539
Unranked
70.20.7
69.570.2
Auto21.8
Teleop40.6
End7.8
blue by 2.2
2075
Unranked
72.40.5
72.072.5
Auto17.8
Teleop44.8
End9.8
Third
7211
Unranked
63.90.7
63.263.9
Auto12.2
Teleop42.3
End9.5
red by 14.9
858
Unranked
49.10.5
48.749.1
Auto10.6
Teleop36.4
End2.1