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Red214
276782.8
584350.9
6781.6
Blue182
362068.5
546070.1
296052.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226198150250300214182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+24Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
12Coral scored#8
58Coral points42
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +27
28Coral scored#19
100Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
132Total teleop105
Reef
17L4#10
9L3#9
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +32
8Foul points0
214Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
Unranked
82.80.1
81.581.4
Auto24.7
Teleop47.7
End10.3
red by 12.7
5460
Unranked
70.10.2
70.470.2
Auto22.0
Teleop43.7
End4.4
Second
67
Unranked
81.60.1
80.480.3
Auto17.7
Teleop53.5
End10.4
red by 13.1
3620
Unranked
68.50.2
68.968.7
Auto22.1
Teleop37.3
End9.2
Third
5843
Unranked
50.90.1
49.649.5
Auto11.1
Teleop31.9
End8.0
blue by 1.4
2960
Unranked
52.30.2
52.752.4
Auto9.0
Teleop34.1
End9.1