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Red40
835219.2
97518.8
999112.3
Blue89
12327.8
661623.3
719622.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59840501001502004089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+51
Endgame+53
Fouls+49
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +51
4Coral scored#13
15Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
19Total teleop70
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#5
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
4Foul points0
40Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8352
#16
19.21.2
33.031.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End1.3
blue by 8.5
123
#2
27.81.0
27.228.2
Auto8.3
Teleop18.9
End0.6
Second
9991
#15
12.32.1
9.97.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End1.9
blue by 11.1
23.31.0
21.722.7
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Third
9751
#18
8.81.2
11.710.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0
blue by 13.5
7196
#13
22.31.0
25.726.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed