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Red53
363213.8
609917.2
786515.9
Blue108
267324.2
56427.5
170179.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6515905010020025053108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+43
Endgame+45
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points50
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
36Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points10
53Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.21.1
20.219.1
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 62.6
79.92.0
79.277.2
Auto23.6
Teleop46.9
End9.4
Second
7865
#11
15.91.1
19.518.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End1.9
blue by 8.3
24.22.0
30.428.4
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Third
3632
#17
13.81.1
26.425.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.1
red by 6.3
5642
#14
7.52.0
12.510.5
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed