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Red36
557725.6
468026.7
20485.1
Blue107
267324.2
828044.1
786515.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80874050607010011036107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+63
Endgame+77
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
19Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +53
1Coral scored#14
5Coral points52
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
9Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#9
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
6Foul points0
36Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#12
26.72.7
36.533.8
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End3.1
blue by 17.5
44.12.1
36.438.5
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
Second
25.62.7
29.126.4
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 1.4
24.22.1
24.126.2
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Third
5.12.7
4.72.0
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.4
End1.3
blue by 10.7
7865
#11
15.92.1
14.616.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned