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Red114
170179.9
835219.2
719622.3
Blue65
309629.2
97518.8
609917.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1623805010015020025011465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
9Leave6
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
40Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +3
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
58Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
114Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.91.0
77.276.2
Auto23.6
Teleop46.9
End9.4
red by 50.7
29.21.0
25.726.7
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End1.0
Second
7196
#13
22.31.0
21.920.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
red by 5.1
17.21.0
17.518.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Third
8352
#16
19.21.0
30.329.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End1.3
red by 10.4
9751
#18
8.81.0
6.67.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed