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Red56
60962.3
12327.8
267324.2
Blue52
786515.9
661623.3
1057715.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54490204060801001205652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+22Teleop
+16Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
40Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points12
56Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#2
27.80.3
25.726.0
Auto8.3
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 4.5
23.30.5
21.220.6
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Second
24.20.3
23.724.1
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
red by 8.3
7865
#11
15.90.5
15.114.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
6096
#20
2.30.3
1.61.9
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
blue by 13.1
15.50.5
11.410.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsEarned