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Red14
468026.7
20485.1
363213.8
Blue73
999112.3
309629.2
557725.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8365020401001201401473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+57
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +54
1Coral scored#13
4Coral points46
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
4Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#5
0L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
14Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#12
26.73.9
40.436.5
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End3.1
blue by 2.5
29.20.8
24.925.7
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End1.0
Second
3632
#17
13.83.9
23.719.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.1
blue by 11.8
25.60.8
28.329.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
Third
5.13.9
8.74.7
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.4
End1.3
blue by 7.1
9991
#15
12.31.3
7.79.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed