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Red79
661623.3
828044.1
47588.6
Blue48
786515.9
835219.2
56427.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715602040801001207948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave3
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points9
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
48Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
79Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.9
35.536.4
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
red by 24.9
8352
#16
19.20.4
30.730.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End1.3
Second
23.30.9
20.321.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
red by 7.4
7865
#11
15.90.4
15.615.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
4758
#19
8.60.9
9.810.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.4
red by 1.1
5642
#14
7.50.4
8.47.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed