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Red130
557725.6
170179.9
363213.8
Blue50
719622.3
60962.3
468026.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1646605010015020025013050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+66Teleop
+78Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +59
15Coral scored#6
54Coral points21
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
18Processor points0
12Net points4
30Algae points4
84Total teleop25
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#2
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
2Foul points0
130Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.6
77.877.2
Auto23.6
Teleop46.9
End9.4
red by 53.2
4680
#12
26.71.6
42.040.4
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Second
25.60.6
28.928.3
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 3.3
7196
#13
22.31.6
23.521.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Third
3632
#17
13.80.6
24.323.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.1
red by 11.5
6096
#20
2.31.6
3.21.6
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed