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Red59
20485.1
609917.2
267324.2
Blue21
97518.8
1057715.5
47588.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592902040801001205921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
7Coral scored#2
25Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
35Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
8Foul points0
59Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.1
23.623.7
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
red by 8.7
15.50.6
11.911.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
17.20.1
17.417.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 8.4
9751
#18
8.80.6
7.16.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Third
5.10.1
8.68.7
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.4
End1.3
blue by 3.5
4758
#19
8.60.6
10.39.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed