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Red65
999112.3
828044.1
56427.5
Blue86
835219.2
12327.8
309629.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions519101001506586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +32
6Coral scored#14
23Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
33Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#7
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
65Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.2
34.335.5
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
red by 14.9
29.20.4
24.524.9
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End1.0
Second
9991
#15
12.32.0
5.87.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End1.9
blue by 15.5
123
#2
27.80.4
25.325.7
Auto8.3
Teleop18.9
End0.6
Third
5642
#14
7.51.2
7.28.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 11.7
8352
#16
19.20.4
30.330.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed