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Red38
661623.3
557725.6
267324.2
Blue31
47588.6
719622.3
609917.2
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions985801502003831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +4
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
26Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
38Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.62.9
31.828.9
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 3.3
7196
#13
22.31.7
25.223.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Second
24.22.9
26.523.6
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
red by 7.0
17.21.7
19.117.4
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Third
23.32.9
23.220.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
red by 14.7
4758
#19
8.61.7
12.010.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed