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Red48
363213.8
999112.3
1057715.5
Blue25
97518.8
56427.5
468026.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457302060801001201404825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
32Total teleop14
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
48Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.3
11.611.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 11.2
4680
#12
26.72.9
44.942.0
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Second
3632
#17
13.80.3
24.024.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.1
red by 5.0
9751
#18Sur
8.82.9
10.07.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Third
9991
#15Sur
12.30.5
5.35.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 4.7
5642
#14
7.52.9
10.07.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed