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Red103
835219.2
20485.1
828044.1
Blue110
60962.3
786515.9
170179.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71123050100150200103110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +17
9Coral scored#19
34Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
62Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#10
2L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
103Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#3Sur
44.12.0
32.234.3
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
blue by 35.7
79.90.6
77.277.8
Auto23.6
Teleop46.9
End9.4
Second
8352
#16
19.22.0
28.330.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End1.3
red by 3.4
7865
#11
15.90.6
15.015.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
5.12.0
6.58.6
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.4
End1.3
red by 2.8
6096
#20Sur
2.30.6
2.63.2
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed