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Red70
12327.8
999112.3
468026.7
Blue43
267324.2
47588.6
309629.2
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95750501502007043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +24
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
44Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points2
70Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#2
27.81.5
26.925.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.9
End0.6
blue by 1.4
29.21.8
26.324.5
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End1.0
Second
4680
#12
26.71.5
46.444.9
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 2.5
24.21.8
28.426.5
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Third
9991
#15
12.32.6
7.85.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 3.7
4758
#19
8.61.8
13.912.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed