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Red73
828044.1
719622.3
557725.6
Blue21
56427.5
20485.1
97518.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119240501001502007321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
7Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
6Coral scored#1
20Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
30Total teleop8
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#0
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
2Foul points0
73Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.5
33.832.2
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
red by 35.3
9751
#18
8.80.5
10.510.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Second
25.61.5
33.331.8
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 18.1
5642
#14
7.50.5
10.510.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Third
7196
#13
22.31.5
26.725.2
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
red by 17.2
5.10.5
7.06.5
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed