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Red19
835219.2
1057715.5
786515.9
Blue58
60962.3
309629.2
661623.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735101001501958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+45
Endgame+45
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +41
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
4Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
6Foul points0
19Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8352
#16
19.23.5
31.828.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End1.3
blue by 10.0
29.20.5
25.826.3
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End1.0
Second
7865
#11
15.93.5
18.515.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End1.9
blue by 7.4
23.30.5
22.723.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Third
15.53.5
15.111.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
red by 13.1
6096
#20
2.30.5
2.12.6
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsMissed