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Red74
828044.1
12327.8
363213.8
Blue149
468026.7
609917.2
170179.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9118005015020025074149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+76
Teleop+63
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +76
0Leave9
7Coral scored#21
37Coral points104
37Total auto113
TeleoperatedRed +13
8Coral scored#5
27Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
35Total teleop22
Reef
3L4#10
6L3#10
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
74Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.3
35.133.8
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
blue by 35.7
79.90.0
77.277.2
Auto23.6
Teleop46.9
End9.4
Second
123
#2
27.81.3
28.226.9
Auto8.3
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 1.1
4680
#12
26.70.0
46.446.4
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Third
3632
#17
13.81.3
25.324.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.1
blue by 3.4
17.20.0
19.119.1
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned