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Red121
47588.6
170179.9
12327.8
Blue64
719622.3
1057715.5
56427.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1413005010020012164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+59Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points29
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
18Processor points0
12Net points8
30Algae points8
68Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
2Foul points2
121Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.90.4
76.276.6
Auto23.6
Teleop46.9
End9.4
red by 57.5
7196
#13
22.31.5
20.922.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Second
123
#2
27.80.4
26.026.4
Auto8.3
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 12.3
15.51.5
10.912.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Third
4758
#19
8.60.4
10.711.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.4
red by 1.1
5642
#14
7.51.5
7.99.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned