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Red97
557725.6
267324.2
828044.1
Blue50
661623.3
835219.2
60962.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1085201502009750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
44Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
97Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.4
38.538.9
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
red by 20.8
23.30.1
21.120.9
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Second
25.60.4
26.426.8
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 6.4
8352
#16
19.20.1
29.229.1
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End1.3
Third
24.20.4
26.226.6
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
red by 21.9
6096
#20
2.30.1
1.91.7
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed