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Red59
56427.5
557725.6
12327.8
Blue55
363213.8
267324.2
835219.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6483020401001201401605955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
8Coral scored#4
29Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
39Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points22
59Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#2
27.80.2
25.925.7
Auto8.3
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 3.6
24.22.8
26.623.8
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Second
25.60.2
26.826.6
Auto6.5
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 6.4
8352
#16
19.22.8
29.126.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End1.3
Third
5642
#14
7.50.2
9.49.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 6.3
3632
#17
13.82.8
19.716.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed