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Red101
309629.2
20485.1
828044.1
Blue135
170179.9
468026.7
661623.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65164050100150200250101135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +36
13Coral scored#18
45Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
55Total teleop91
Reef
4L4#7
7L3#7
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
2Foul points0
101Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.12.0
38.940.9
Auto15.4
Teleop22.0
End6.7
blue by 35.7
79.90.2
78.478.5
Auto23.6
Teleop46.9
End9.4
Second
29.22.0
26.228.2
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End1.0
red by 2.5
4680
#12
26.70.2
33.333.5
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Third
5.12.0
3.85.8
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.4
End1.3
blue by 18.2
23.30.2
20.921.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned